Qualification · Qualification 22
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
51.23 – 257.14
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
81 – 192
Prediction correct · off by 47.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 133Event APEX 35.69Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 90Event APEX 44.97Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.1Event APEX -29.43Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.9 ±11.6
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 63.57Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 76.8Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 116.77Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6695, 3309, 7042
36
/ 100 compatProjected
51.2 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6695, 3309, 7042
Auto
19.6 39%
Teleop
13.9 27%
Endgame
17.2 34%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5137, 8891, 4141
80
/ 100 compatProjected
257.1 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5137, 8891, 4141
Auto
39.7 15%
Teleop
148.9 58%
Endgame
69.0 27%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score51.2pts
Blue projected score257.1pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -205.9
- Score range
- 24–284
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
340.1Season APEX251.9
19.6Auto39.7
13.9Teleop148.9
17.2Endgame69
179Consistency92
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 33 |
| teleop | 31 | 97 |
| endgame | 23 | 62 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 81 | 192 |
Result
Final score
81 – 192
Prediction correct · off by 47.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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