Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

142.5 – 237.08

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 136.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 268.7 ±11.7

6220The Golden Griffins

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 66.9Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7157μBotics

Season APEX 114Event APEX 25.91Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6072Triton Tech 6072

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 49.69Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 549.6 ±14.5

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 256.68Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4919Team Ronin

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX -0.96Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4619HawkBots

Season APEX 79.4Event APEX -18.64Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6220, 7157, 6072

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6220, 7157, 6072

Auto

7.3 5%

Teleop

123.3 87%

Endgame

10.4 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4414, 4919, 4619

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4414, 4919, 4619

Auto

43.3 21%

Teleop

112.4 53%

Endgame

55.5 26%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.5pts

Blue projected score237.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -94.6
Score range: 117–263
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 522 vs event baseline 147.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

268.7Season APEX549.6

7.3Auto43.3

123.3Teleop112.4

10.4Endgame55.5

16Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	94
teleop	41	229
endgame	23	122
foul	0	0
total	77	445

Result

Final score

77 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 136.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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