Qualification · Qualification 2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
78.22 – 98.07
44%56%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
10 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 53.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.1 ±17.5
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX 11.24Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 60.9Event APEX 37.19Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 29.79Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287 ±11.7
Season APEX 133Event APEX 57.96Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 25.14Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 14.97Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4619, 9730, 3295
41
/ 100 compatProjected
78.2 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4619, 9730, 3295
Auto
18.8 27%
Teleop
34.9 50%
Endgame
16.8 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6695, 2658, 4919
40
/ 100 compatProjected
98.1 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6695, 2658, 4919
Auto
13.8 13%
Teleop
63.4 61%
Endgame
27.0 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 15%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score78.2pts
Blue projected score98.1pts
Red win probability44%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -19.8
- Score range
- 44–132
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
195.1Season APEX287
18.8Auto13.8
34.9Teleop63.4
16.8Endgame27
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 18 |
| teleop | 2 | 36 |
| endgame | 0 | 5 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 10 | 59 |
Result
Final score
10 – 59
Prediction correct · off by 53.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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