Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
24.88 – 83.71
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
112 – 110
Prediction missed · off by 56.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.8 ±11
Season APEX 83.6Event APEX -44.28Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 32.23Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133Event APEX 36.93Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.6 ±12.7
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -4.73Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 48.1Event APEX 79.53Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 79Event APEX 8.91Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9271, 5137, 6695
14
/ 100 compatProjected
24.9 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9271, 5137, 6695
Auto
20.6 100%
Teleop
11.9 100%
Endgame
-22.6 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5500, 7447, 3952
45
/ 100 compatProjected
83.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5500, 7447, 3952
Auto
30.1 42%
Teleop
34.9 49%
Endgame
6.8 9%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 10%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score24.9pts
Blue projected score83.7pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -58.8
- Score range
- -3–112
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
360.8Season APEX161.6
20.6Auto30.1
11.9Teleop34.9
-22.6Endgame6.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 23 |
| teleop | 72 | 66 |
| endgame | 20 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 112 | 110 |
Result
Final score
112 – 110
Prediction missed · off by 56.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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