Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
33.52 – 247.33
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
35 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 74.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 176.3 ±15.8
Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 1.81Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 60.08Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 79.4Event APEX -28.37Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 333.9 ±11
Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 11.03Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.7Event APEX 103.27Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 133.03Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5835, 6072, 4619
23
/ 100 compatProjected
33.5 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 5835, 6072, 4619
Auto
-0.1 0%
Teleop
43.3 85%
Endgame
7.5 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7042, 115, 4141
86
/ 100 compatProjected
247.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 7042, 115, 4141
Auto
46.4 19%
Teleop
150.5 63%
Endgame
41.4 17%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 34%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.47
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score33.5pts
Blue projected score247.3pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 34%, blue 52%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -213.8
- Score range
- 5–276
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
176.3Season APEX333.9
-0.1Auto46.4
43.3Teleop150.5
7.5Endgame41.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 27 |
| teleop | 11 | 38 |
| endgame | 13 | 34 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 35 | 99 |
Result
Final score
35 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 74.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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