Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

99.3 – 190.92

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 559

Prediction correct · off by 201.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.5 ±11.7

5857Walnut Valley Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 45.13Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10586Unearthed

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 19.12Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2658Σ-Motion

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 35.05Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 614.8 ±11.2

3408cyberCubs

Season APEX 135Event APEX 56.68Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 138.83Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9730Metal Maniacs

Season APEX 60.9Event APEX -4.59Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5857, 10586, 2658

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5857, 10586, 2658

Auto

8.7 10%

Teleop

70.8 81%

Endgame

8.3 9%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3408, 4414, 9730

/ 100 compat

Projected

190.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3408, 4414, 9730

Auto

37.2 19%

Teleop

105.8 54%

Endgame

51.5 26%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.9 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99.3pts

Blue projected score190.9pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.6
Score range: 72–218
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 624 vs event baseline 148.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.5Season APEX614.8

8.7Auto37.2

70.8Teleop105.8

8.3Endgame51.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	90
teleop	15	279
endgame	37	100
foul	0	90
total	65	559

Result

Final score

65 – 559

Prediction correct · off by 201.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.