Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
95.69 – 98.45
49%51%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
49 – 19
Prediction missed · off by 63.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 163.7 ±15.8
Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 20.67Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.3Event APEX 38.81Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43Event APEX 36.21Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 150.2 ±15.8
Season APEX 44.1Event APEX 66.84Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 16.62Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 14.99Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5514, 6885, 10336
42
/ 100 compatProjected
95.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5514, 6885, 10336
Auto
10.7 11%
Teleop
75.9 79%
Endgame
9.8 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4276, 3295, 4919
52
/ 100 compatProjected
98.5 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4276, 3295, 4919
Auto
33.9 35%
Teleop
37.4 39%
Endgame
24.6 26%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 47%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.6
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score95.7pts
Blue projected score98.5pts
Red win probability49%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 47%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -2.8
- Score range
- 68–126
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
163.7Season APEX150.2
10.7Auto33.9
75.9Teleop37.4
9.8Endgame24.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 27 | 2 |
| teleop | 21 | 7 |
| endgame | 1 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 49 | 19 |
Result
Final score
49 – 19
Prediction missed · off by 63.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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