Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
249.61 – 153.09
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
186 – 119
Prediction correct · off by 48.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 474.3 ±11.2
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX -6.18Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 96.16Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 159.63Rank 4Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 45.85Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 29.07Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 78.17Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5500, 5474, 5199
89
/ 100 compatProjected
249.6 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5500, 5474, 5199
Auto
46.4 19%
Teleop
125.9 51%
Endgame
75.2 30%
Strengths
- · 5199 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6220, 7042, 3020
67
/ 100 compatProjected
153.1 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6220, 7042, 3020
Auto
23.3 16%
Teleop
81.6 55%
Endgame
44.4 30%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score249.6pts
Blue projected score153.1pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 96.5
- Score range
- 125–278
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
474.3Season APEX284.2
46.4Auto23.3
125.9Teleop81.6
75.2Endgame44.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 50 | 24 |
| teleop | 96 | 52 |
| endgame | 40 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 186 | 119 |
Result
Final score
186 – 119
Prediction correct · off by 48.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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