Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

121.31 – 324.89

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

135 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 256.4 ±12.2

3952Troy Robotics

Season APEX 79Event APEX 55.47Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3408cyberCubs

Season APEX 135Event APEX 60.23Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8521CyberLions

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 5.61Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 542 ±11.2

5474Clairemonster

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 60.53Rank 6Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3020SMbld

Season APEX 52.8Event APEX 10.97Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 253.39Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3952, 3408, 8521

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3952, 3408, 8521

Auto

27.3 25%

Teleop

62.9 57%

Endgame

20.2 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5474, 3020, 3476

/ 100 compat

Projected

324.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5474, 3020, 3476

Auto

49.2 15%

Teleop

187.8 58%

Endgame

84.6 26%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.3pts

Blue projected score324.9pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -203.6
Score range: 87–359
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 513 vs event baseline 190.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

256.4Season APEX542

27.3Auto49.2

62.9Teleop187.8

20.2Endgame84.6

9Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	19
teleop	76	241
endgame	35	118
foul	0	0
total	135	378

Result

Final score

135 – 378

Prediction correct · off by 33.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree