Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

634.45 – 298.8

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

656 – 406

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 834 ±9.3

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 343.75Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3309Friarbots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 40.71Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 249.99Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 552.6 ±9.3

4322Clockwork

Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 143.57Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10586Unearthed

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX -4.58Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4201The Vitruvian Bots

Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 159.81Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4414, 3309, 3476

/ 100 compat

Projected

634.5 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4414, 3309, 3476

Auto

125.1 20%

Teleop

346.0 55%

Endgame

153.6 25%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4322, 10586, 4201

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4322, 10586, 4201

Auto

45.7 16%

Teleop

165.8 58%

Endgame

74.0 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.83 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score634.5pts

Blue projected score298.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 335.7
Score range: 266–667
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1062 vs event baseline 181.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

834Season APEX552.6

125.1Auto45.7

346Teleop165.8

153.6Endgame74

0Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	144	98
teleop	348	148
endgame	164	140
foul	0	20
total	656	406

Result

Final score

656 – 406

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.