Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
215.5 – 215.5
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
150 – 571
Prediction missed · off by 210.5 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 438.3 ±10.4
Season APEX 133.9Event APEX -Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 152.2Event APEX -Rank 38Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 152.2Event APEX -Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 831.5 ±9.3
Season APEX 334.7Event APEX -Rank 4Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 163.1Event APEX -Rank 32Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 333.7Event APEX -Rank 23Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8793, 840, 114
50
/ 100 compatProjected
215.5 pts
~2.2 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 8793, 840, 114
Auto
64.6 30%
Teleop
107.8 50%
Endgame
43.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 50%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6036, 9400, 604
50
/ 100 compatProjected
215.5 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 6036, 9400, 604
Auto
64.6 30%
Teleop
107.8 50%
Endgame
43.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 71%
Supercharged: 50%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.23 · Blue 2.15
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score215.5pts
Blue projected score215.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample272alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 71%, blue 74%
Supercharged bonusred 50%, blue 38%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 138–294
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
438.3Season APEX831.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 42 | 94 |
| teleop | 84 | 319 |
| endgame | 24 | 93 |
| foul | 0 | 65 |
| total | 150 | 571 |
Result
Final score
150 – 571
Prediction missed · off by 210.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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