Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
228.54 – 228.54
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
226 – 323
Prediction missed · off by 48.5 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 383.7 ±10.4
Season APEX 108Event APEX -Rank 51Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 98.9Event APEX -Rank 60Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 176.8Event APEX -Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 397.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 151Event APEX -Rank 36Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 141.9Event APEX -Rank 29Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104.7Event APEX -Rank 46Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 253, 5419, 3257
50
/ 100 compatProjected
228.5 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 253, 5419, 3257
Auto
68.6 30%
Teleop
114.3 50%
Endgame
45.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2135, 1072, 649
50
/ 100 compatProjected
228.5 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 2135, 1072, 649
Auto
68.6 30%
Teleop
114.3 50%
Endgame
45.7 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.89 · Blue 2.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score228.5pts
Blue projected score228.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample272alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 35%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 147–311
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
383.7Season APEX397.6
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 34 |
| teleop | 146 | 165 |
| endgame | 32 | 109 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 226 | 323 |
Result
Final score
226 – 323
Prediction missed · off by 48.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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