Qualification · Qualification 113
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
220.31 – 201.56
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
208 – 323
Prediction missed · off by 66.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 393.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 113.6Event APEX 73.96Rank 52Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 82.03Rank 39Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 64.32Rank 44Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 494.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 104.9Event APEX 29.49Rank 58Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 104.3Event APEX 28.98Rank 43Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 285Event APEX 143.09Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 192, 8033, 8793
52
/ 100 compatProjected
220.3 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 192, 8033, 8793
Auto
56.0 27%
Teleop
92.7 44%
Endgame
62.6 30%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5700, 10339, 6238
48
/ 100 compatProjected
201.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 5700, 10339, 6238
Auto
29.5 15%
Teleop
113.8 57%
Endgame
57.6 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 65%
Supercharged: 30%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score220.3pts
Blue projected score201.6pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample272alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 65%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 25%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 18.8
- Score range
- 136–286
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
393.6Season APEX494.2
56Auto29.5
92.7Teleop113.8
62.6Endgame57.6
126Consistency126
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 71 | 71 |
| teleop | 76 | 147 |
| endgame | 61 | 70 |
| foul | 0 | 35 |
| total | 208 | 323 |
Result
Final score
208 – 323
Prediction missed · off by 66.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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