Qualification · Qualification 10
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
197.31 – 197.31
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
490 – 285
Prediction correct · off by 190.2 points
Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 332.1Event APEX -Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 84.9Event APEX -Rank 47Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX -Rank 17Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 484.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX -Rank 57Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 305.7Event APEX -Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 113.6Event APEX -Rank 52Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5940, 6662, 8048
50
/ 100 compatProjected
197.3 pts
~2.1 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 5940, 6662, 8048
Auto
59.2 30%
Teleop
98.7 50%
Endgame
39.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 77%
Supercharged: 34%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4990, 8, 192
50
/ 100 compatProjected
197.3 pts
~1.9 RP (district-cmp)
Teams: 4990, 8, 192
Auto
59.2 30%
Teleop
98.7 50%
Endgame
39.5 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 77%
Supercharged: 34%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.93
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict Championship
Red projected score197.3pts
Blue projected score197.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample272alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 77%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 34%, blue 27%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 126–268
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
598.9Season APEX484.4
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 102 | 46 |
| teleop | 229 | 146 |
| endgame | 159 | 73 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 490 | 285 |
Result
Final score
490 – 285
Prediction correct · off by 190.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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