Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

441.27 – 183.43

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

511 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 57.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 745.3 ±9.3

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 248.43Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7042Poly Rabbotics

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 17.68Rank 36Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 175.16Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.4 ±11.7

3759SMARTBOTS

Season APEX 40.7Event APEX 36.72Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5137Iron Kodiaks

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 72.93Rank 13Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4Team 4 ELEMENT

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 73.78Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3476, 7042, 9408

/ 100 compat

Projected

441.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3476, 7042, 9408

Auto

76.2 18%

Teleop

253.1 59%

Endgame

100.7 23%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3759, 5137, 4

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3759, 5137, 4

Auto

35.1 20%

Teleop

104.4 60%

Endgame

35.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score441.3pts

Blue projected score183.4pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 257.8
Score range: 158–466
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 739 vs event baseline 137.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

745.3Season APEX331.4

76.2Auto35.1

253.1Teleop104.4

100.7Endgame35

0Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	28
teleop	306	135
endgame	119	65
foul	5	0
total	511	228

Result

Final score

511 – 228

Prediction correct · off by 57.2 pts

Match videos

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