Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
126.9 – 107.99
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
133 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 7.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 29.43Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 101Event APEX 66.78Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 30.69Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 247.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 32.5Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 32.24Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 43.25Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1661, 2710, 4415
58
/ 100 compatProjected
126.9 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1661, 2710, 4415
Auto
19.7 17%
Teleop
65.8 56%
Endgame
32.9 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1197, 1836, 5089
54
/ 100 compatProjected
108 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1197, 1836, 5089
Auto
31.2 29%
Teleop
55.2 51%
Endgame
22.0 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.4
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score126.9pts
Blue projected score108pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 18.9
- Score range
- 83–152
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
307.6Season APEX247.2
19.7Auto31.2
65.8Teleop55.2
32.9Endgame22
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 29 |
| teleop | 52 | 38 |
| endgame | 39 | 32 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 133 | 99 |
Result
Final score
133 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 7.5 pts
Match videos
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