Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

465.55 – 117.14

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

369 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 745.3 ±9.3

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 256.65Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7042Poly Rabbotics

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 25.51Rank 36Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 183.39Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.7 ±12.2

3408cyberCubs

Season APEX 135Event APEX 41.65Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7230Mythic Mechanix

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 40.78Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

980ThunderBots

Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 34.71Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3476, 7042, 9408

/ 100 compat

Projected

465.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3476, 7042, 9408

Auto

85.2 19%

Teleop

263.0 58%

Endgame

101.4 23%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3408, 7230, 980

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3408, 7230, 980

Auto

29.0 25%

Teleop

63.1 55%

Endgame

22.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score465.6pts

Blue projected score117.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 348.4
Score range: 93–490
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 133.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

745.3Season APEX311.7

85.2Auto29

263Teleop63.1

101.4Endgame22.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	8
teleop	218	41
endgame	101	46
foul	0	0
total	369	95

Result

Final score

369 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 pts

Match videos

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