Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

45.14 – 95.43

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

150 – 32

Prediction missed · off by 84.1 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 382.9 ±11.7

597The Wolverines

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 18Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3408cyberCubs

Season APEX 135Event APEX 7.43Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4123Tribe Robotics

Season APEX 140.5Event APEX 19.71Rank 4Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.8 ±13.3

5835Sage Hill Robotics

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 7.14Rank 29Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 32.29Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

867Absolute Value

Season APEX 30Event APEX 56Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 597, 3408, 4123

/ 100 compat

Projected

45.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 597, 3408, 4123

Auto

6.0 13%

Teleop

30.0 67%

Endgame

9.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5835, 5124, 867

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5835, 5124, 867

Auto

20.3 26%

Teleop

44.0 56%

Endgame

14.0 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score45.1pts

Blue projected score95.4pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.3
Score range: 28–112
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 182 vs event baseline 96.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

382.9Season APEX148.8

6Auto20.3

30Teleop44

9.1Endgame14

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	1
teleop	104	28
endgame	37	3
foul	0	0
total	150	32

Result

Final score

150 – 32

Prediction missed · off by 84.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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