Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

146.2 – 314.9

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.6 ±12.4

1159Ramona Rampage

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 41.15Rank 28Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4322Clockwork

Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 81.24Rank 6Record 8-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5835Sage Hill Robotics

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 23.81Rank 29Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467.1 ±15.3

1759Potatoes

Provisional

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 26.35Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 255.87Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1836The MilkenKnights

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 32.68Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1159, 4322, 5835

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1159, 4322, 5835

Auto

25.1 18%

Teleop

83.0 60%

Endgame

30.9 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1759, 3476, 1836

/ 100 compat

Projected

314.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1759, 3476, 1836

Auto

71.6 23%

Teleop

188.2 61%

Endgame

48.6 16%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score146.2pts

Blue projected score314.9pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -168.7
Score range: 122–339
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 432 vs event baseline 131.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.6Season APEX467.1

25.1Auto71.6

83Teleop188.2

30.9Endgame48.6

4Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	70
teleop	10	196
endgame	76	68
foul	0	0
total	98	334

Result

Final score

98 – 334

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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