Qualification · Qualification 72
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
73.27 – 133.55
32%68%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
70 – 203
Prediction correct · off by 36.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 246 ±12.2
Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 26.4Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 135Event APEX 43.26Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 3.61Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 467.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 35.58Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 67.35Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 30.62Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5124, 3408, 6904
38
/ 100 compatProjected
73.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5124, 3408, 6904
Auto
19.7 29%
Teleop
21.8 32%
Endgame
25.7 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7230, 294, 980
65
/ 100 compatProjected
133.5 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 7230, 294, 980
Auto
30.2 23%
Teleop
65.7 51%
Endgame
33.7 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.85
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score73.3pts
Blue projected score133.5pts
Red win probability32%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -60.3
- Score range
- 49–158
- Upset likelihood
- 32%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
246Season APEX467.6
19.7Auto30.2
21.8Teleop65.7
25.7Endgame33.7
39Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 29 |
| teleop | 35 | 145 |
| endgame | 27 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 70 | 203 |
Result
Final score
70 – 203
Prediction correct · off by 36.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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