Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

251.23 – 81.02

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

353 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 62.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 515.4 ±11.2

4Team 4 ELEMENT

Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 64.34Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4964Roosevelt Robotics

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 9.62Rank 21Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9408Warren Warbots

A+

Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 177.27Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.1 ±12.8

6220The Golden Griffins

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 31.5Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6072Triton Tech 6072

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 25.67Rank 26Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

597The Wolverines

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 23.85Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4, 4964, 9408

/ 100 compat

Projected

251.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4, 4964, 9408

Auto

40.1 17%

Teleop

137.8 58%

Endgame

59.5 25%

Strengths

· 9408 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6220, 6072, 597

/ 100 compat

Projected

81 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6220, 6072, 597

Auto

17.0 24%

Teleop

39.1 55%

Endgame

14.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score251.2pts

Blue projected score81pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 170.2
Score range: 58–274
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 457 vs event baseline 130.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

515.4Season APEX262.1

40.1Auto17

137.8Teleop39.1

59.5Endgame14.8

18Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	26
teleop	204	51
endgame	84	27
foul	0	0
total	353	104

Result

Final score

353 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 62.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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