Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
50.46 – 50.46
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
74 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 20.5 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.8 ±12.8
Season APEX 97.4Event APEX -Rank 14Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX -Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX -Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 190.5 ±13.3
Season APEX 106.5Event APEX -Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 40.7Event APEX -Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4999, 1836, 1661
50
/ 100 compatProjected
50.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4999, 1836, 1661
Auto
15.1 30%
Teleop
25.2 50%
Endgame
10.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 980, 9696, 3759
50
/ 100 compatProjected
50.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 980, 9696, 3759
Auto
15.1 30%
Teleop
25.2 50%
Endgame
10.1 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score50.5pts
Blue projected score50.5pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 37%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 32–68
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
232.8Season APEX190.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 11 |
| teleop | 34 | 33 |
| endgame | 20 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 74 | 68 |
Result
Final score
74 – 68
Prediction correct · off by 20.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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