Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.77 – 81.71

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 62 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208.6 ±13.9

4501Humans

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 26.78Rank 31Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6904TeraWatts

Season APEX 48.7Event APEX 7.05Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

597The Wolverines

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 26.94Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 250.4 ±12.8

4964Roosevelt Robotics

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 1.21Rank 21Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5137Iron Kodiaks

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 63.49Rank 13Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6072Triton Tech 6072

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 17.01Rank 26Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4501, 6904, 597

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4501, 6904, 597

Auto

18.3 30%

Teleop

21.6 36%

Endgame

20.3 34%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4964, 5137, 6072

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4964, 5137, 6072

Auto

21.7 27%

Teleop

37.8 47%

Endgame

20.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.8pts

Blue projected score81.7pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -20.9
Score range: 38–105
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 130.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208.6Season APEX250.4

18.3Auto21.7

21.6Teleop37.8

20.3Endgame20.5

52Consistency94

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	32
teleop	9	71
endgame	14	21
foul	0	60
total	39	184

Result

Final score

39 – 184

Prediction correct · off by 62 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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