Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.24 – 139.58

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

135 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 377.9 ±10.4

4415EPIC Robotz

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 32.12Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2584Flame of The West

Season APEX 140.4Event APEX 82.37Rank 12Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4999Momentum

Season APEX 97.4Event APEX 16.75Rank 14Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540.2 ±9.8

3408cyberCubs

Season APEX 135Event APEX 44.29Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 66.42Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6220The Golden Griffins

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 28.87Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4415, 2584, 4999

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4415, 2584, 4999

Auto

29.6 23%

Teleop

65.9 51%

Endgame

33.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3408, 294, 6220

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3408, 294, 6220

Auto

11.9 9%

Teleop

80.7 61%

Endgame

39.0 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.2pts

Blue projected score139.6pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -8.3
Score range: 108–163
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 130.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

377.9Season APEX540.2

29.6Auto11.9

65.9Teleop80.7

33Endgame39

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	36
teleop	58	93
endgame	45	30
foul	5	0
total	135	159

Result

Final score

135 – 159

Prediction correct · off by 11.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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