Qualification · Qualification 61
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
94.64 – 196.96
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
107 – 253
Prediction correct · off by 34.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 273.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 29.5Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 42.51Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 22.63Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 444.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 76.3Event APEX -3.01Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 140.5Event APEX 59.45Rank 4Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 227.6Event APEX 140.52Rank 5Record 8-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1661, 980, 1197
51
/ 100 compatProjected
94.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 1661, 980, 1197
Auto
17.8 20%
Teleop
50.4 56%
Endgame
21.5 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5669, 4123, 687
82
/ 100 compatProjected
197 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 5669, 4123, 687
Auto
39.6 20%
Teleop
110.5 56%
Endgame
45.9 23%
Strengths
- · 687 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score94.6pts
Blue projected score197pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 45%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -102.3
- Score range
- 72–220
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
273.5Season APEX444.4
17.8Auto39.6
50.4Teleop110.5
21.5Endgame45.9
0Consistency10
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 75 |
| teleop | 37 | 140 |
| endgame | 22 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 107 | 253 |
Result
Final score
107 – 253
Prediction correct · off by 34.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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