Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
54.04 – 51.52
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
126 – 65
Prediction correct · off by 42.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.6 ±15.1
Season APEX 60Event APEX -19.39Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
1759Potatoes
Provisional
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 20.33Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 53.1Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 135Event APEX 35.57Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 40.7Event APEX 13.08Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 2.87Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1515, 1759, 4
36
/ 100 compatProjected
54 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1515, 1759, 4
Auto
6.8 12%
Teleop
39.5 68%
Endgame
11.5 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3408, 3759, 5857
24
/ 100 compatProjected
51.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3408, 3759, 5857
Auto
16.1 37%
Teleop
6.4 15%
Endgame
20.7 48%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score54pts
Blue projected score51.5pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 2.5
- Score range
- 29–77
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
279.6Season APEX242.7
6.8Auto16.1
39.5Teleop6.4
11.5Endgame20.7
125Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 22 |
| teleop | 93 | 24 |
| endgame | 11 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 126 | 65 |
Result
Final score
126 – 65
Prediction correct · off by 42.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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