Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.18 – 115.92

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 139.3 ±13.9

6072Triton Tech 6072

Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 16.61Rank 26Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

867Absolute Value

Season APEX 30Event APEX 15.25Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1836The MilkenKnights

Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 44.32Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.1 ±11.2

4999Momentum

Season APEX 97.4Event APEX -4.95Rank 14Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4322Clockwork

Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 83.79Rank 6Record 8-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7230Mythic Mechanix

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 37.08Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6072, 867, 1836

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6072, 867, 1836

Auto

19.6 24%

Teleop

50.5 63%

Endgame

10.2 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4999, 4322, 7230

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4999, 4322, 7230

Auto

22.2 20%

Teleop

51.5 47%

Endgame

36.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.2pts

Blue projected score115.9pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39.7
Score range: 53–139
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 125.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

139.3Season APEX388.1

19.6Auto22.2

50.5Teleop51.5

10.2Endgame36.8

60Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	35
teleop	23	95
endgame	13	40
foul	0	0
total	49	170

Result

Final score

49 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.