Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
357.56 – 0
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
350 – 82
Prediction correct · off by 44.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 606.6 ±9.8
Season APEX 135Event APEX 38.7Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 263.52Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 55.34Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 209.2 ±12.2
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 3.8Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX -3.06Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60Event APEX -38.5Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3408, 3476, 4
78
/ 100 compatProjected
357.6 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 3408, 3476, 4
Auto
54.9 16%
Teleop
220.2 63%
Endgame
73.3 21%
Strengths
- · 3476 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1197, 6904, 1515
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-37.8 pts
~0.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1197, 6904, 1515
Auto
13.0 0%
Teleop
-30.6 79%
Endgame
-20.9 54%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 51%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.4
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score357.6pts
Blue projected score-37.8pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 51%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 357.6
- Score range
- -22–380
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
606.6Season APEX209.2
54.9Auto13
220.2Teleop-30.6
73.3Endgame-20.9
10Consistency152
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 54 | 20 |
| teleop | 184 | 33 |
| endgame | 112 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 350 | 82 |
Result
Final score
350 – 82
Prediction correct · off by 44.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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