Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
32.81 – 75.64
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
84 – 49
Prediction missed · off by 38.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.9 ±12.8
Season APEX 140.5Event APEX 33.75Rank 4Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67Event APEX -8.44Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.4Event APEX 7.5Rank 26Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166 ±12.2
Season APEX 97.4Event APEX -3.46Rank 14Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 58.08Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 30Event APEX 21.02Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4123, 5857, 6072
11
/ 100 compatProjected
32.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4123, 5857, 6072
Auto
20.7 54%
Teleop
-1.2 0%
Endgame
18.7 49%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4999, 4470, 867
46
/ 100 compatProjected
75.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 4999, 4470, 867
Auto
17.8 22%
Teleop
46.2 57%
Endgame
16.6 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 1.61
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score32.8pts
Blue projected score75.6pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -42.8
- Score range
- 11–98
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
247.9Season APEX166
20.7Auto17.8
-1.2Teleop46.2
18.7Endgame16.6
74Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 20 |
| teleop | 29 | 27 |
| endgame | 17 | 2 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 84 | 49 |
Result
Final score
84 – 49
Prediction missed · off by 38.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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