Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

132.12 – 77.28

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

135 – 176

Prediction missed · off by 50.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 324.9 ±11.7

6220The Golden Griffins

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 16.15Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7230Mythic Mechanix

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 39.29Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2584Flame of The West

Season APEX 140.4Event APEX 76.68Rank 12Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.9 ±12.4

1661Griffitrons

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 21.16Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4322Clockwork

Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 74.14Rank 6Record 8-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11096Δt

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX -18.02Rank 17Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6220, 7230, 2584

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6220, 7230, 2584

Auto

38.3 34%

Teleop

69.5 62%

Endgame

4.8 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1661, 4322, 11096

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1661, 4322, 11096

Auto

6.7 9%

Teleop

41.0 52%

Endgame

30.7 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.1pts

Blue projected score77.3pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.8
Score range: 55–154
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 123.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324.9Season APEX354.9

38.3Auto6.7

69.5Teleop41

4.8Endgame30.7

99Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	16
teleop	68	100
endgame	35	45
foul	0	15
total	135	176

Result

Final score

135 – 176

Prediction missed · off by 50.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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