Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.4 – 283.66

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

57 – 436

Prediction correct · off by 102.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 278 ±12.2

9505Vyserions

Season APEX 54.4Event APEX -0.14Rank 34Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7042Poly Rabbotics

Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 28.39Rank 36Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

980ThunderBots

Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 82.15Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 723.4 ±10.7

597The Wolverines

Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 13.24Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 233.01Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

294Beach Cities Robotics

Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 37.41Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9505, 7042, 980

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.4 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9505, 7042, 980

Auto

25.8 22%

Teleop

53.4 45%

Endgame

38.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 597, 3476, 294

/ 100 compat

Projected

283.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 597, 3476, 294

Auto

35.3 13%

Teleop

183.2 66%

Endgame

57.1 21%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score110.4pts

Blue projected score283.7pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -173.3
Score range: 89–305
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 493 vs event baseline 119.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

278Season APEX723.4

25.8Auto35.3

53.4Teleop183.2

38.6Endgame57.1

53Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	82
teleop	35	262
endgame	15	92
foul	0	0
total	57	436

Result

Final score

57 – 436

Prediction correct · off by 102.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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