Qualification · Qualification 27
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
122.07 – 92.97
59%41%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
128 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 27 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 460.3 ±11.2
Season APEX 290.9Event APEX 30.97Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.9Event APEX 72.37Rank 9Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 18.73Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.9 ±12.8
Season APEX 146.5Event APEX 33.85Rank 7Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67Event APEX 33.88Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 25.24Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 294, 1836, 1197
60
/ 100 compatProjected
122.1 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 294, 1836, 1197
Auto
27.2 23%
Teleop
76.5 64%
Endgame
16.4 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4, 5857, 597
50
/ 100 compatProjected
93 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 4, 5857, 597
Auto
12.4 13%
Teleop
56.5 60%
Endgame
25.1 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.27
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score122.1pts
Blue projected score93pts
Red win probability59%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 29.1
- Score range
- 71–144
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
460.3Season APEX320.9
27.2Auto12.4
76.5Teleop56.5
16.4Endgame25.1
33Consistency64
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 8 |
| teleop | 65 | 23 |
| endgame | 30 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 128 | 45 |
Result
Final score
128 – 45
Prediction correct · off by 27 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.