Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

50.89 – 281.99

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

24 – 297

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 206.5 ±13.3

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 32.41Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5669Techmen

Season APEX 76.3Event APEX 18.71Rank 32Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11096Δt

Season APEX 67.9Event APEX -0.23Rank 17Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 500.3 ±10.5

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 226.54Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4999Momentum

Season APEX 97.4Event APEX 10.47Rank 14Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5089Robo-Nerds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 44.98Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5124, 5669, 11096

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5124, 5669, 11096

Auto

12.8 32%

Teleop

7.6 19%

Endgame

20.2 50%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3476, 4999, 5089

/ 100 compat

Projected

282 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3476, 4999, 5089

Auto

50.6 18%

Teleop

162.7 59%

Endgame

60.6 22%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.56 · Blue 2.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score50.9pts

Blue projected score282pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -231.1
Score range: 30–303
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 116.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

206.5Season APEX500.3

12.8Auto50.6

7.6Teleop162.7

20.2Endgame60.6

113Consistency99

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	70
teleop	1	174
endgame	5	53
foul	0	0
total	24	297

Result

Final score

24 – 297

Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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