Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

29.24 – 133.95

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 186.7 ±13.3

1515MorTorq

Season APEX 60Event APEX -13.5Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5835Sage Hill Robotics

Season APEX 56.5Event APEX 21.73Rank 29Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7230Mythic Mechanix

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 21.01Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 412.3 ±11.7

4501Humans

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX -21.89Rank 31Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

980ThunderBots

Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 80.47Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4201The Vitruvian Bots

Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 75.37Rank 3Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1515, 5835, 7230

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1515, 5835, 7230

Auto

18.2 71%

Teleop

12.4 48%

Endgame

-5.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4501, 980, 4201

/ 100 compat

Projected

134 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4501, 980, 4201

Auto

18.4 13%

Teleop

74.0 53%

Endgame

48.4 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score29.2pts

Blue projected score134pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -104.7
Score range: 8–155
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 248 vs event baseline 116.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

186.7Season APEX412.3

18.2Auto18.4

12.4Teleop74

-5Endgame48.4

180Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	44
teleop	13	109
endgame	12	51
foul	0	0
total	44	204

Result

Final score

44 – 204

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.