Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.59 – 95.14

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

113 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 246.2 ±12.2

1159Ramona Rampage

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 36.12Rank 28Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

6220The Golden Griffins

Season APEX 114.3Event APEX 38.74Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 27.73Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.1 ±12.2

4470TiGears

Season APEX 38.6Event APEX 35.19Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3408cyberCubs

Season APEX 135Event APEX 38.78Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4501Humans

Season APEX 52.5Event APEX 21.17Rank 31Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1159, 6220, 5124

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1159, 6220, 5124

Auto

21.6 25%

Teleop

39.5 45%

Endgame

26.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4470, 3408, 4501

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 4470, 3408, 4501

Auto

26.8 29%

Teleop

41.0 45%

Endgame

23.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.51 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.6pts

Blue projected score95.1pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.5
Score range: 68–130
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 139 vs event baseline 149.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

246.2Season APEX226.1

21.6Auto26.8

39.5Teleop41

26.7Endgame23.4

22Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	15
teleop	32	9
endgame	9	2
foul	60	0
total	113	26

Result

Final score

113 – 26

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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