Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 124.02
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
22 – 136
Prediction correct · off by 17 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 189.4 ±12.8
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX -21.08Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.3Event APEX -5.07Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 97.4Event APEX 1.22Rank 14Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 471.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 303.1Event APEX 72.33Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.9Event APEX 7.08Rank 17Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 44.61Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6904, 9696, 4999
8
/ 100 compatProjected
-24.9 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6904, 9696, 4999
Auto
-1.6 8%
Teleop
-21.3 100%
Endgame
2.9 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9408, 11096, 1197
67
/ 100 compatProjected
124 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9408, 11096, 1197
Auto
15.9 13%
Teleop
82.9 68%
Endgame
24.0 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-24.9pts
Blue projected score124pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 51%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -124
- Score range
- -21–145
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
189.4Season APEX471.5
-1.6Auto15.9
-21.3Teleop82.9
2.9Endgame24
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 17 | 53 |
| teleop | 5 | 73 |
| endgame | 0 | 10 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 22 | 136 |
Result
Final score
22 – 136
Prediction correct · off by 17 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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