Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
23.49 – 13.55
53%47%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
38 – 91
Prediction missed · off by 46 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 38.6Event APEX -0.78Rank 35Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 6.13Rank 21Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 40.7Event APEX 18.14Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232 ±13.9
Season APEX 107.4Event APEX 11.24Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.2Event APEX -6.12Rank 11Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.4Event APEX 8.43Rank 34Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4470, 4964, 3759
31
/ 100 compatProjected
23.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4470, 4964, 3759
Auto
2.6 8%
Teleop
21.9 71%
Endgame
6.4 21%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 597, 7230, 9505
23
/ 100 compatProjected
13.6 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 597, 7230, 9505
Auto
8.8 54%
Teleop
3.7 23%
Endgame
3.8 23%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.32
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score23.5pts
Blue projected score13.6pts
Red win probability53%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 33%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 9.9
- Score range
- -6–43
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
145.1Season APEX232
2.6Auto8.8
21.9Teleop3.7
6.4Endgame3.8
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 27 |
| teleop | 13 | 56 |
| endgame | 9 | 8 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 38 | 91 |
Result
Final score
38 – 91
Prediction missed · off by 46 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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