Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

95.44 – 67.57

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 53 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 393.4 ±11.1

5089Robo-Nerds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 31.85Rank 27Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4201The Vitruvian Bots

Season APEX 253.3Event APEX 42.27Rank 3Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5124West Torrance Robotics

Season APEX 62.3Event APEX 21.32Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.5 ±11.7

4322Clockwork

Season APEX 220.5Event APEX 40.45Rank 6Record 8-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1515MorTorq

Season APEX 60Event APEX -8.15Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

867Absolute Value

Season APEX 30Event APEX 35.27Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5089, 4201, 5124

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.4 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5089, 4201, 5124

Auto

8.8 11%

Teleop

41.3 52%

Endgame

30.0 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4322, 1515, 867

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4322, 1515, 867

Auto

11.7 16%

Teleop

48.9 66%

Endgame

14.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score95.4pts

Blue projected score67.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.9
Score range: 49–114
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 106.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

393.4Season APEX310.5

8.8Auto11.7

41.3Teleop48.9

30Endgame14

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	6
teleop	77	54
endgame	75	17
foul	0	0
total	192	77

Result

Final score

192 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 53 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.