Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
98.24 – 27.14
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
44 – 295
Prediction missed · off by 161.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 48.7Event APEX -5.92Rank 42Record 1-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 29.39Rank 28Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 67Event APEX 74.77Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 564.4 ±9.8
Season APEX 117.1Event APEX 30.05Rank 36Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 303.1Event APEX -2.81Rank 2Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX -0.1Rank 13Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6904, 1159, 5857
54
/ 100 compatProjected
98.2 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6904, 1159, 5857
Auto
29.5 43%
Teleop
10.3 15%
Endgame
29.2 42%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7042, 9408, 5137
18
/ 100 compatProjected
27.1 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7042, 9408, 5137
Auto
23.4 89%
Teleop
-6.9 0%
Endgame
9.7 37%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score98.2pts
Blue projected score27.1pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 71.1
- Score range
- 9–116
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
185.3Season APEX564.4
29.5Auto23.4
10.3Teleop-6.9
29.2Endgame9.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 31 |
| teleop | 12 | 196 |
| endgame | 10 | 68 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 44 | 295 |
Result
Final score
44 – 295
Prediction missed · off by 161.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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