Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

167.67 – 56.66

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

344 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 532 ±11.2

3476Code Orange

A+

Season APEX 325.1Event APEX 102.36Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1661Griffitrons

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 23.73Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2584Flame of The West

Season APEX 140.4Event APEX 41.58Rank 12Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 277 ±15.1

980ThunderBots

Season APEX 106.5Event APEX 28.95Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4999Momentum

Season APEX 97.4Event APEX 23.73Rank 14Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1759Potatoes

Provisional

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 3.98Rank 16Record 6-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3476, 1661, 2584

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3476, 1661, 2584

Auto

38.3 24%

Teleop

74.8 47%

Endgame

47.0 29%

Strengths

· 3476 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 980, 4999, 1759

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 980, 4999, 1759

Auto

19.8 36%

Teleop

21.3 39%

Endgame

13.9 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.21 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score167.7pts

Blue projected score56.7pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111
Score range: 40–185
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 415 vs event baseline 92.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532Season APEX277

38.3Auto19.8

74.8Teleop21.3

47Endgame13.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	15
teleop	216	44
endgame	47	7
foul	20	5
total	344	71

Result

Final score

344 – 71

Prediction correct · off by 95.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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