Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

111.12 – 92.72

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

220 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 64.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360 ±11

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 51.68Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2473Goldstrikers

Season APEX 60.5Event APEX -10.67Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7419TECH Support

Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 70.11Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.6 ±11.6

6305Stable Circuits

Season APEX 93.6Event APEX 40.17Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

852ARC Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 26.34Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 26.21Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8793, 2473, 7419

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8793, 2473, 7419

Auto

13.0 12%

Teleop

60.4 57%

Endgame

31.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6305, 852, 1458

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6305, 852, 1458

Auto

20.9 24%

Teleop

41.3 47%

Endgame

25.8 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111.1pts

Blue projected score92.7pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.4
Score range: 62–142
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 292 vs event baseline 173.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360Season APEX226.6

13Auto20.9

60.4Teleop41.3

31.7Endgame25.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	21
teleop	112	21
endgame	28	20
foul	20	10
total	220	72

Result

Final score

220 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 64.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.