Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

124.45 – 125.15

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 493.3 ±11.1

10252Mecha Lions

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 17.94Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 50.9Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9584Spartan Squared

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 55.61Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.1 ±11.6

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 17Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1857Citrus Sparks

Season APEX 126.7Event APEX 61.54Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3598SEStematic Eliminators

Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 46.61Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10252, 3045, 9584

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10252, 3045, 9584

Auto

11.6 10%

Teleop

69.2 59%

Endgame

36.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1452, 1857, 3598

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1452, 1857, 3598

Auto

22.6 20%

Teleop

52.8 46%

Endgame

40.0 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score124.5pts

Blue projected score125.2pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -0.7
Score range: 93–156
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 264 vs event baseline 173.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

493.3Season APEX293.1

11.6Auto22.6

69.2Teleop52.8

36.2Endgame40

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	25
teleop	52	68
endgame	18	57
foul	20	5
total	109	155

Result

Final score

109 – 155

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.