Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
597.33 – 252.15
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
652 – 325
Prediction correct · off by 63.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 860.1 ±9.9
Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 8.24Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 332.02Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 257.07Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 628.1 ±9.9
Season APEX 11.7Event APEX 25.72Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 164.9Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 282.7Event APEX 61.53Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5760, 1678, 9470
82
/ 100 compatProjected
597.3 pts
~2.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5760, 1678, 9470
Auto
124.2 21%
Teleop
333.5 56%
Endgame
137.3 23%
Strengths
- · 1678 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7413, 604, 971
80
/ 100 compatProjected
252.2 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7413, 604, 971
Auto
47.9 19%
Teleop
128.9 52%
Endgame
69.5 28%
Strengths
- · 604 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 24%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.74 · Blue 0.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score597.3pts
Blue projected score252.2pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample134alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 345.2
- Score range
- 220–629
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
860.1Season APEX628.1
124.2Auto47.9
333.5Teleop128.9
137.3Endgame69.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 101 | 48 |
| teleop | 368 | 191 |
| endgame | 138 | 86 |
| foul | 45 | 0 |
| total | 652 | 325 |
Result
Final score
652 – 325
Prediction correct · off by 63.8 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.