Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
126.27 – 10.83
81%19%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
46 – 112
Prediction missed · off by 90.7 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 93.6Event APEX 115.13Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 5.57Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.5Event APEX 5.57Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 320.8 ±11
Season APEX 121.1Event APEX -13.75Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 12.29Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 12.29Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6305, 6981, 2473
67
/ 100 compatProjected
126.3 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6305, 6981, 2473
Auto
29.5 26%
Teleop
58.3 51%
Endgame
25.6 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3598, 5760, 8793
23
/ 100 compatProjected
10.8 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3598, 5760, 8793
Auto
2.9 27%
Teleop
7.9 74%
Endgame
-0.1 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 8%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.88
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score126.3pts
Blue projected score10.8pts
Red win probability81%
Event bonus sample134alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 41%
Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 115.4
- Score range
- -14–151
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
193.7Season APEX320.8
29.5Auto2.9
58.3Teleop7.9
25.6Endgame-0.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 10 |
| teleop | 28 | 58 |
| endgame | 7 | 44 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 46 | 112 |
Result
Final score
46 – 112
Prediction missed · off by 90.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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