Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.02 – 335.96

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

195 – 434

Prediction correct · off by 103.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.6 ±11.6

7419TECH Support

Season APEX 165.6Event APEX 62.99Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 21Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10059Tech On Titans

Season APEX 47.7Event APEX 2.03Rank 18Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 633.2 ±11.2

670Homestead Robotics

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 10.05Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 325.93Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX -0.02Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7419, 1458, 10059

/ 100 compat

Projected

86 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7419, 1458, 10059

Auto

13.4 17%

Teleop

54.1 67%

Endgame

13.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 670, 1678, 6981

/ 100 compat

Projected

336 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 670, 1678, 6981

Auto

74.9 22%

Teleop

189.1 56%

Endgame

73.1 22%

Strengths

· 1678 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.69 · Blue 2.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86pts

Blue projected score336pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -249.9
Score range: 56–366
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 629 vs event baseline 167.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.6Season APEX633.2

13.4Auto74.9

54.1Teleop189.1

13Endgame73.1

0Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	85
teleop	98	245
endgame	57	104
foul	20	0
total	195	434

Result

Final score

195 – 434

Prediction correct · off by 103.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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