Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.73 – 154.05

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 373 ±11

3257Vortechs

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 28.11Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7413Plus Ultra

Season APEX 11.7Event APEX 4.16Rank 25Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

670Homestead Robotics

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX -5.54Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 424.2 ±11.7

10252Mecha Lions

Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 18.14Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 128.02Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6981Clockwork Concord

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 7.89Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3257, 7413, 670

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3257, 7413, 670

Auto

6.2 31%

Teleop

4.6 23%

Endgame

9.4 47%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10252, 604, 6981

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.1 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10252, 604, 6981

Auto

33.5 23%

Teleop

64.2 45%

Endgame

46.3 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score26.7pts

Blue projected score154.1pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -127.3
Score range: -1–182
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 156.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373Season APEX424.2

6.2Auto33.5

4.6Teleop64.2

9.4Endgame46.3

0Consistency54

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	29
teleop	69	104
endgame	19	42
foul	0	15
total	99	190

Result

Final score

99 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 54.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.