Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.58 – 246.17

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 72.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245 ±11.6

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 14.25Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5760The Marinators

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX 4.95Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8793Pumpkin Bots

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 64.38Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 873.8 ±9.3

604Quixilver

Season APEX 333.7Event APEX 175.33Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

670Homestead Robotics

Season APEX 184.5Event APEX 21.74Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3045Gear Gremlins

Season APEX 355.6Event APEX 49.1Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1452, 5760, 8793

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1452, 5760, 8793

Auto

16.0 23%

Teleop

26.9 38%

Endgame

27.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 604, 670, 3045

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 604, 670, 3045

Auto

40.3 17%

Teleop

136.8 57%

Endgame

62.6 26%

Strengths

· 604 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.6pts

Blue projected score246.2pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -162.6
Score range: 50–280
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 185 vs event baseline 188.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245Season APEX873.8

16Auto40.3

26.9Teleop136.8

27.3Endgame62.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	29
teleop	29	76
endgame	7	37
foul	0	0
total	43	142

Result

Final score

43 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 72.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.