Qualification · Qualification 36
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
99.86 – 26.68
71%29%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
53 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 33.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 121.1Event APEX 35.88Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 18.61Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.2Event APEX 45.37Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.7 ±11.6
Season APEX 50.9Event APEX 17.76Rank 19Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 17.26Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 184.5Event APEX -8.34Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3598, 6981, 4171
46
/ 100 compatProjected
99.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3598, 6981, 4171
Auto
16.5 16%
Teleop
57.8 57%
Endgame
26.9 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10252, 1452, 670
7
/ 100 compatProjected
26.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 10252, 1452, 670
Auto
5.2 36%
Teleop
-6.6 0%
Endgame
16.0 100%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score99.9pts
Blue projected score26.7pts
Red win probability71%
Event bonus sample134alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 73.2
- Score range
- -1–128
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
214.9Season APEX280.7
16.5Auto5.2
57.8Teleop-6.6
26.9Endgame16
53Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 22 |
| teleop | 22 | 12 |
| endgame | 8 | 12 |
| foul | 10 | 0 |
| total | 53 | 46 |
Result
Final score
53 – 46
Prediction correct · off by 33.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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