Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

103.06 – 313.43

7%93%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 439

Prediction correct · off by 93.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.8 ±11.6

1458Red Tie Robotics

Season APEX 81.3Event APEX 31.75Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5924Golden Gate Robotics

Season APEX 31.4Event APEX 40.68Rank 24Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4990Basement Bots

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 30.63Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 651.7 ±10.5

5760The Marinators

Season APEX 65.8Event APEX -0.85Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3257Vortechs

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX 21.58Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 292.7Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1458, 5924, 4990

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1458, 5924, 4990

Auto

18.0 19%

Teleop

52.3 54%

Endgame

25.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5760, 3257, 1678

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5760, 3257, 1678

Auto

72.6 24%

Teleop

160.4 52%

Endgame

73.2 24%

Strengths

· 1678 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.1pts

Blue projected score313.4pts

Red win probability7%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -210.4
Score range: 75–341
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 481 vs event baseline 154.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.8Season APEX651.7

18Auto72.6

52.3Teleop160.4

25.9Endgame73.2

0Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	92
teleop	17	234
endgame	17	113
foul	0	0
total	42	439

Result

Final score

42 – 439

Prediction correct · off by 93.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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