Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

363.77 – 13.41

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

385 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 534.7 ±10.5

4990Basement Bots

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 31.49Rank 15Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2473Goldstrikers

Season APEX 60.5Event APEX 15.81Rank 20Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1678Citrus Circuits

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 316.47Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.3 ±11.6

1452Omnicats

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 3.9Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3257Vortechs

Season APEX 176.8Event APEX -9.24Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4171BayBots

Season APEX 54.2Event APEX 18.75Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4990, 2473, 1678

/ 100 compat

Projected

363.8 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4990, 2473, 1678

Auto

72.9 22%

Teleop

183.3 54%

Endgame

82.8 24%

Strengths

· 1678 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1452, 3257, 4171

/ 100 compat

Projected

13.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1452, 3257, 4171

Auto

0.2 0%

Teleop

-32.4 100%

Endgame

32.1 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score363.8pts

Blue projected score13.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample134alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 350.4
Score range: -15–392
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 476 vs event baseline 155.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

534.7Season APEX276.3

72.9Auto0.2

183.3Teleop-32.4

82.8Endgame32.1

25Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	18
teleop	239	34
endgame	84	29
foul	0	10
total	385	91

Result

Final score

385 – 91

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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